Only four weeks until election day and recent polling suggests Barack Obama would win in a landslide if the election was held today. John McCain’s now finds himself having to defend many states that went for Bush in 2004, including Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, New Mexico, North Carolina, Missouri, and Indiana. It is likely that Obama’s current numbers drop some and the race will tighten, but McCain’s chances of winning are looking very slim. There are two remaining debates (including one tonight), which offer McCain an opportunity to change the course of the race and there is always the chance for some kind of “October Surprise”.
- FiveThirtyEight.com :Obama 340, McCain 198
- Electoral-Vote.com : Obama 329, McCain 194, Tossup 15
- Princeton Election Consortium : Obama 353, McCain 185
- Real Clear Politics : Obama 264, McCain 163, Toss Ups 111 | No Toss Ups: Obama 364, McCain 174
- Pollster.com : Obama 296, McCain 163, Toss Ups 79
- Karl Rove : Obama 273, McCain 163, Toss Ups 102
- CNN : Obama 250, McCain 189, Toss Ups 99
- Marc Ambinder :Obama 239, McCain 184, Toss Ups 135
